A 4x ROAS can still lose money. Find the ROAS where yours breaks even.
ROAS is a revenue number; profit is a contribution number. Enter your contribution margin, return rate and margin target; get the ROAS floor below which ads destroy value.
Effective contribution per ₹1 of ad revenue = contribution margin × (1 − return rate). Break-even ROAS = 1 ÷ effective contribution.
Example: 30% margin with 10% returns gives 27% effective contribution → break-even ROAS 3.7×. A campaign at 3× is losing money no matter how the dashboard feels.
The reverse is also true: high-repeat cohorts can justify below-floor first-order ROAS — model that in the CAC/LTV simulator, not by wishful thinking.
Illustrative figures, not a client outcome.
A returned order keeps its ad cost but loses its revenue. At 30% returns, nearly a third of 'attributed revenue' never happens — the ROAS floor rises by almost half.
Only with a measured repeat-purchase case (then use the LTV tool) or a deliberate, time-boxed awareness objective with a named budget — never by default.
Version 1.0 · Reviewed 2026-10 · Methodology is fixed and version-controlled; results depend on your inputs.
Ads reporting wins while the P&L reports losses? Let's reconcile them.
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