Free Tool · Brand, Marketing & Communications

Marketing Campaign ROI Forecaster

What must this campaign sell to pay for itself? Know before launch.

What must this campaign sell to pay for itself? Enter cost, order value, contribution and baseline volume; get the break-even orders and required uplift — and whether your expected uplift clears it.

For: Marketing Manager·Free — no sign-up for results·Related service: Marketing Strategy & Integrated Communications
Contribution per order₹600
Break-even incremental orders834
Break-even uplift needed41.67%
Your scenario: incremental orders400
Campaign ROI-52%
At 20% uplift this loses money. Either the campaign needs a bigger effect, a longer measurement window (brand effects outlast the flight), or a smaller budget.
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How it works

Contribution per order = AOV × contribution margin. Break-even orders = campaign cost ÷ contribution per order.

Break-even uplift = break-even orders ÷ (baseline weekly orders × duration). Compare with your expected uplift — the gap is the pre-launch conversation.

ROI counts contribution, not revenue. A campaign that 'does ₹30 L of sales' at 25% margin on a ₹20 L cost lost money.

Worked example

A ₹5 L campaign on a ₹600 contribution needs 834 incremental orders — a 42% uplift on 500 baseline weekly orders over 4 weeks. The team's expected 20% uplift loses ₹2.4 L. They shrink scope to two cities, halve cost, and the same uplift now pays back.

Illustrative figures, not a client outcome.

Questions, answered

What about long-term brand effects?

Real, but don't smuggle them into a performance calculation. If you're buying memory, say so, budget it as brand spend, and measure it as brand — not as phantom orders.

How do we measure actual uplift?

Holdout geography or matched controls, agreed before launch. Post-hoc 'attribution' will always find the campaign innocent.

Version 1.0 · Reviewed 2026-10 · Methodology is fixed and version-controlled; results depend on your inputs.

Campaigns justified after the fact? Forecast before the spend.

BLEZZINGS runs this analysis inside a focused engagement — with your data, your market and a plan to act on it.