Before the launch budget moves, test the six gates that decide entry.
Before the launch budget moves, test the six gates that decide entry. Four are hard stops: a brilliant team cannot compensate for broken unit economics, and enthusiasm cannot replace demand evidence.
Score each gate 0–5. Demand evidence, unit economics, channel access and regulatory are hard stops — below threshold, the verdict is no-go regardless of the average.
Verdicts: GO (all gates pass, average ≥ 3.5), CONDITIONAL (no hard-stop failure, weak gates named), NO-GO (any hard-stop failure).
Write the decision memo the same day. A gate score you don't act on is decoration.
Illustrative figures, not a client outcome.
Because some weaknesses don't average out. Averaging lets a 5/5 team 'compensate' for 1/5 economics — which is how expensive failures get approved.
Observed behaviour: pilot sales, search volume, distributor orders with deposits, interviews with named buyers. A market-size report is context, not evidence.
Version 1.0 · Reviewed 2026-10 · Methodology is fixed and version-controlled; results depend on your inputs.
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